r/Bitcoin

BTC should suffice, as the bottom 90% will hold minimal amounts (e.g., microtransactions or fractional sats).

• Final Estimate: ~0.05 BTC to be in the top 10% forever, given high whale control and limited supply.

Caveats

• Dynamic Distribution: Bitcoin’s distribution may become more or less concentrated over time. If whales consolidate further, thresholds could rise; if adoption spreads, they could fall.
• Lost Coins Uncertainty: If more than 20% of BTC is lost, thresholds decrease further (e.g., 29% lost reduces supply to ~15M BTC).

• Holder Numbers: The assumption of 1 billion holders is speculative. If fewer people adopt Bitcoin, less BTC is needed to rank in the top percentiles.

• Data Limitations: Blockchain data doesn’t reveal individual owners (one person can control multiple addresses), and exchange-held BTC skews perceptions of retail ownership.

• Market Volatility: These estimates focus on BTC amounts, not USD value, which fluctuates (e.g., 0.25 BTC ≈ $23,500 at $94,000/BTC as of April 2025).

Conclusion -

To be in the top 1%, 5%, and 10% of Bitcoin holders “forever,” you’d likely need ~0.25 BTC, ~0.15 BTC, and ~0.05 BTC, respectively, based on a 16.8M BTC effective supply and mass adoption by 1 billion people. These figures are lower than current estimates (e.g., 0.28 BTC for top 1%) due to lost coins and whale concentration reducing available BTC for the masses.

https://redd.it/1k9e8t7
@r_bitcoin

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BTC should suffice, as the bottom 90% will hold minimal amounts (e.g., microtransactions or fractional sats).

• Final Estimate: ~0.05 BTC to be in the top 10% forever, given high whale control and limited supply.

Caveats

• Dynamic Distribution: Bitcoin’s distribution may become more or less concentrated over time. If whales consolidate further, thresholds could rise; if adoption spreads, they could fall.
• Lost Coins Uncertainty: If more than 20% of BTC is lost, thresholds decrease further (e.g., 29% lost reduces supply to ~15M BTC).

• Holder Numbers: The assumption of 1 billion holders is speculative. If fewer people adopt Bitcoin, less BTC is needed to rank in the top percentiles.

• Data Limitations: Blockchain data doesn’t reveal individual owners (one person can control multiple addresses), and exchange-held BTC skews perceptions of retail ownership.

• Market Volatility: These estimates focus on BTC amounts, not USD value, which fluctuates (e.g., 0.25 BTC ≈ $23,500 at $94,000/BTC as of April 2025).

Conclusion -

To be in the top 1%, 5%, and 10% of Bitcoin holders “forever,” you’d likely need ~0.25 BTC, ~0.15 BTC, and ~0.05 BTC, respectively, based on a 16.8M BTC effective supply and mass adoption by 1 billion people. These figures are lower than current estimates (e.g., 0.28 BTC for top 1%) due to lost coins and whale concentration reducing available BTC for the masses.

https://redd.it/1k9e8t7
@r_bitcoin

BY r/Bitcoin