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A new study on Mesolithic France used HIrisPlex-S to predict the skin pigmentation of five WHGs. Two were surprisingly classified as having "pale" to "intermediate" skin (tones common among Europeans today), rather than the usual "dark" to "black" prediction. The infamous Chedder Man study also predicted that Loschbour Man had intermediate (i.e. olive/tanned) skin.

HIrisPlex-S is a flawed model. It doesn't feature MFSD12 alleles, which are the second strongest influence on dark/black skin in modern populations, causing black skin when combined with other skin-darkening alleles. It also misclassifies people with intermediate skin 74% of the time.

Evidence indicates that intermediate-skinned individuals who lack the SLC24A5 and SLC45A2 "pale skin" alleles are always misclassified as dark or black, rather than pale. This can be seen with HIrisPlex-S' predictions for modern Asian populations: Oroqens, Uyghurs, and Southern Chinese are misclassified as ~50% black.
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A new study on Mesolithic France used HIrisPlex-S to predict the skin pigmentation of five WHGs. Two were surprisingly classified as having "pale" to "intermediate" skin (tones common among Europeans today), rather than the usual "dark" to "black" prediction. The infamous Chedder Man study also predicted that Loschbour Man had intermediate (i.e. olive/tanned) skin.

HIrisPlex-S is a flawed model. It doesn't feature MFSD12 alleles, which are the second strongest influence on dark/black skin in modern populations, causing black skin when combined with other skin-darkening alleles. It also misclassifies people with intermediate skin 74% of the time.

Evidence indicates that intermediate-skinned individuals who lack the SLC24A5 and SLC45A2 "pale skin" alleles are always misclassified as dark or black, rather than pale. This can be seen with HIrisPlex-S' predictions for modern Asian populations: Oroqens, Uyghurs, and Southern Chinese are misclassified as ~50% black.

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