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The Bitter Lesson
We could have been talking to our desktop computers in English since the 90s!

"Somebody got one of the small versions of Llama to run on Windows 98…”

“We could've been talking to our computers in English for the last 30 years"

- Marc Andreessen

Correct.

The hardware already existed, for decades.

What stopped us?

Extreme aversion to investing money into training much larger AI models.

No one was willing to invest the many millions needed to train an AI model of this size.

In fact, even a decade later in 2011, people were still hardly willing to spend more than TEN DOLLARS on electricity costs to train a state-of-the-art model, e.g. the AlexNet image model

Many truly under-estimate how unwilling to people have been to spend money on AI training, until very recently

And this wasn’t unrealized, many of us had screamed this for decades.

No one cared.

Incredible testiment to man’s unwillingness to invest in certain critical areas of future tech.

— happens in AI, advanced market mechanisms, proof systems, and a few other similar areas, that are unquestionably the future.

We could have been talking to our desktop computers in English since the 90s

Bitter Lesson
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We could have been talking to our desktop computers in English since the 90s!

"Somebody got one of the small versions of Llama to run on Windows 98…”

“We could've been talking to our computers in English for the last 30 years"

- Marc Andreessen

Correct.

The hardware already existed, for decades.

What stopped us?

Extreme aversion to investing money into training much larger AI models.

No one was willing to invest the many millions needed to train an AI model of this size.

In fact, even a decade later in 2011, people were still hardly willing to spend more than TEN DOLLARS on electricity costs to train a state-of-the-art model, e.g. the AlexNet image model

Many truly under-estimate how unwilling to people have been to spend money on AI training, until very recently

And this wasn’t unrealized, many of us had screamed this for decades.

No one cared.

Incredible testiment to man’s unwillingness to invest in certain critical areas of future tech.

— happens in AI, advanced market mechanisms, proof systems, and a few other similar areas, that are unquestionably the future.

We could have been talking to our desktop computers in English since the 90s

Bitter Lesson

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